Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) | 100% KT Rolster Challengers | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% Odd | 100% Even |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Bilibili Gaming Junior face KT Rolster Challengers in a best-of-three decider match within Asia Masters Group B on 11 June 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 04:00 ET. The outcome determines advancement within the regional developmental league structure, where both squads represent the secondary rosters of established LCK and LPL organisations. Settlement occurs via USDC on-chain within seven days of match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that window triggers non-settlement.
The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty of the match occurring rather than confidence in either team's victory. Asia Masters decider matches have historically proceeded as scheduled absent major regional disruptions—no precedent exists for cancellation at this stage of competition. KT Rolster's infrastructure and Bilibili's domestic resources both support reliable fixture execution. The seven-day grace period accommodates typical broadcast delays and administrative processing without creating meaningful settlement risk.
Traders should monitor official LCK and LPL communications for any roster changes or scheduling conflicts affecting either squad in the week prior. Recent Asia Masters fixtures have maintained their scheduled windows despite timezone complications across the region. The match timing at 04:00 ET aligns with standard Asian broadcast windows and carries no unusual logistical flags. Funding conditions on major exchanges show no material volatility tied to regional esports events, suggesting macro conditions remain neutral to this fixture. Confirmation of both teams' participation typically arrives 48 hours before scheduled play.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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