Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Korea Republic (-1.5) | 0% Korea Republic | 100% Czechia |
| Czechia (-1.5) | 0% Czechia | 100% Korea Republic |
| Korea Republic (-2.5) | 0% Korea Republic | 100% Czechia |
| Czechia (-2.5) | 0% Czechia | 100% Korea Republic |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The Republic of Korea will face Czechia in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 11 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This fixture forms part of the tournament's preliminary round, where qualification for the knockout stages depends on points accumulated across three matches. The market settlement hinges on whether additional betting markets for this specific game will be offered on the platform before the 12 June deadline, a binary outcome tied to operational decisions rather than match performance.
Historical precedent from major tournament cycles shows that prediction markets covering World Cup fixtures typically achieve near-certainty pricing once the tournament schedule is confirmed and broadcast arrangements finalised. The 100% implied probability reflects high confidence that supplementary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card totals—will be created as standard practice for group-stage matches involving established football nations. Previous World Cup cycles have seen comprehensive market coverage expand systematically as kickoff approaches, particularly for matches involving UEFA or AFC confederation sides with substantial betting interest.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture confirmations and the platform's market-expansion roadmap through early June. Any scheduling changes, broadcaster restrictions, or technical delays in market deployment could alter settlement outcomes. Funding conditions on major crypto exchanges remain stable; USDC settlement mechanics for this contract carry minimal counterparty risk given the binary nature of the underlying event. Watch for announcements regarding market pairs or bundle offerings that might consolidate Korea–Czechia coverage with other group-stage fixtures, as bundled releases could trigger settlement before the 2 June window closes.
Methodology
This page reads Korea Republic vs. Czechia - More Markets on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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