Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 3 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Portugal and DR Congo have already played to a **1-1 draw** in their World Cup opener, with João Neves scoring for Portugal and Yoane Wissa equalising for DR Congo.[2][3] For an exact-score market, that means the listed 1-1 outcome is the only settlement-relevant result from the match itself, rather than any win/loss framing or advancement narrative.[2][3]
The crowd-implied **0% YES** is consistent with a market that has already been effectively decided by the final score and is now trading on residual settlement risk rather than match uncertainty.[2][3] In comparable football score markets, the main source of mispricing is usually not the scoreline itself but whether the contract’s rules allow for postponed, abandoned or replayed fixtures to remain live; here, the description says settlement depends on the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. That matters on-chain because USDC-settled prediction markets tend to reprice sharply once the official result is widely confirmed, while open interest can linger if final adjudication is still pending.
Traders should watch for the event to be marked complete by the market operator, plus any official match report or federation confirmation if there is a dispute over timing, abandonment or score definition. The broader crypto backdrop is secondary, but exact-score markets can still reflect risk appetite in BTC and ETH when liquidity tightens or when whale flows concentrate around major sports events; recent spot and derivatives conditions are worth checking if the contract is still tradable. Since the market’s settlement window extends to 2026-06-17T17:00:00Z, the key catalyst is not the football result itself, but whether the platform’s resolution process has fully locked in the 1-1 outcome.
Methodology
This page reads Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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