Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% Odd | 0% Even |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars and RED Canids will compete in the Upper Bracket Final of the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on 11 June at 2:00PM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the Lower Bracket. Both organisations represent Brazil's strongest League of Legends talent pool, making this a high-stakes regional qualifier that determines which team secures the most direct path to the main Esports World Cup event. The match is scheduled as a best-of-three series.
The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal on-chain liquidity or a technical settlement state rather than genuine market consensus. Historical precedent from regional League of Legends qualifiers shows that upper bracket finals between established Brazilian organisations typically resolve without cancellation or delay—fixture integrity in LATAM esports remains robust despite occasional scheduling adjustments. Comparable matches in this region have settled cleanly within the scheduled window, with no instances of tie outcomes in competitive LoL formats.
Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications and team social media for any roster changes, technical issues, or schedule revisions closer to the event date. RED Canids and Vivo Keyd Stars both maintain active competitive calendars; any unexpected player unavailability or organisational disruption would surface through regional esports news outlets such as Esports Charts or team announcements. The settlement window extends to 12 June 00:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer for match completion. Given the qualifier's importance, both teams have strong incentive to play on schedule, reducing delay risk materially below the 7-day threshold specified in resolution criteria.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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