Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Team Orange Gaming and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS are playing a best-of-five quarter-final in the Prime League 1st Division Spring 2026 playoffs. Live match listings show E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS leading the series 3-1, which means the market’s current 0% YES pricing on Team Orange Gaming reflects an already-sided result rather than a pre-match coin toss. In similar esports settlement markets, the key issue is not map balance but whether the official series result is recorded before the window closes; once a BO5 is completed, the outcome is usually straightforward to verify from the tournament page or a results aggregator.
For traders, the main catalyst is the official bracket and series score, not any broader crypto move. The match was scheduled for 20 May and is listed by multiple esports databases as part of the Prime League playoffs, with the result page already showing a completed 1-3 defeat for Team Orange Gaming. That lowers the risk of late schedule drift, but the contract still depends on the match being formally accepted as played within the settlement window. If there were an administrative change, replay, or cancellation, the market rules on no contest or delay would matter more than live odds.
On the crypto side, this kind of market settles in USDC on-chain, so the practical risk is operational rather than directional: the contract only needs a clean, verifiable winner before the deadline. For context, BTC and ETH spot have not been the driver here; what matters is whether the event data feed and official bracket stay aligned. If a trader is checking for confirmation, the fastest references are the tournament listing and result pages rather than broader market data.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (B… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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