LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

RED Canids face LOS in the lower bracket final of Brazil's CBLOL League of Legends playoffs on 31 May at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the grand final; the loser is eliminated. This best-of-five match determines which team gets a second chance at the championship after losing in earlier rounds. The current 10% implied probability for RED Canids suggests the market views LOS as the stronger favourite, though lower bracket dynamics often produce upsets when teams face elimination pressure.

RED Canids' historical performance in CBLOL lower brackets provides context for assessing this probability. The organisation has competed in multiple playoff runs but has not consistently dominated elimination matches against top-tier opposition. LOS, conversely, has shown stronger regular-season consistency and deeper champion pool flexibility in recent splits. Comparable lower bracket finals in CBLOL have typically favoured the team with superior mid-game macro play and fewer draft vulnerabilities—factors that currently appear to favour LOS based on recent scrim reports and patch adaptation across the region.

Traders should monitor roster health announcements and any schedule changes from CBLOL's official channels before settlement on 31 May. Patch notes released in the week prior could shift champion viability significantly, particularly for junglers and supports where RED Canids have shown inconsistency. Connection stability and server performance on match day carry weight given Brazil's infrastructure variance. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 31 May, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for official results confirmation before USDC settlement executes on-chain.

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.