LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nongshim Red Force are due to play KT Rolster in an LCK best-of-three, with the contract settling on the match winner rather than series score. The market is sitting at 0% YES, which usually indicates either no live pricing or a stale order book rather than a meaningful view on the teams. In the most recent comparable meeting from the spring split, KT beat Nongshim 2-0, and third-party match listings still show KT as the bookmaker favourite for this fixture.

For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the series is actually started before the settlement window closes, and whether any schedule change pushes it beyond the 7-day backstop that would force 50-50. The contract is tied to a USDC outcome, so resolution follows the on-chain market rules rather than any post-match ambiguity, while the broader crypto backdrop can still affect liquidity and fills. Per CoinGecko, BTC and ETH have been trading in a relatively stable macro range today, which may matter more for overall prediction-market participation than for the match itself. Any late roster update, broadcast delay, or official LCK rescheduling notice would be the key item to check before the deadline.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.