Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
NRG Esports face CCG Esports in the upper bracket semifinal of the North American Challengers League playoffs, a best-of-three fixture scheduled for 22 May at 4:00 PM ET. The winner advances directly to the finals; the loser drops to the lower bracket. Both organisations compete in League of Legends' secondary North American circuit, which feeds talent into the LCS and serves as the primary proving ground for emerging rosters. The match settlement window closes 23 May at 02:00 UTC, allowing roughly 22 hours post-scheduled start for completion and confirmation.
The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme illiquidity in this particular market or a technical listing issue rather than genuine certainty of outcome. Comparable Challengers League playoff fixtures typically attract modest but genuine two-sided interest on prediction platforms, with upper bracket semis drawing modest volume given the tier's lower mainstream visibility relative to LCS play. Historical cancellation or delay beyond the seven-day threshold remains rare for scheduled Challengers matches; administrative postponements usually resolve within 48 hours.
Traders should monitor official Riot Games Challengers League communications and team social channels for roster confirmations, scheduling changes, or technical issues in the days preceding the match. Recent LCS and Challengers fixture data from esports databases such as Liquipedia or official Riot broadcast schedules will confirm whether either team faces competing commitments. USDC settlement on-chain will execute once match results are officially published by Riot; funding rate movements on perpetual contracts tied to esports betting volumes may signal late liquidity shifts, though this particular market's current depth suggests limited whale positioning.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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