LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI face GAM Esports in the League of Legends Lower Bracket semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group C, with the match scheduled for 9:40 AM ET on 15 July. The crowd-implied probability sits at 100% YES for a KOI victory, reflecting their status as bookmakers’ favourites with a 1.42 coefficient and a 60% overall win rate compared to GAM’s 50% [4].

Historically, KOI have already defeated GAM 1–0 in the Group Stage round, securing the win in 30 minutes during the EWC 2025 opener [3]. This prior result, combined with KOI’s stronger roster depth and recent international form, mirrors comparable cases where a team’s early dominance in a tournament translates to decisive lower-bracket wins, justifying the near-certainty pricing despite the BO3 format.

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any delays beyond the 7-day settlement window, which would trigger a 50–50 resolution, and watch for live match start confirmations on the tournament’s broadcast channels [5]. While crypto macro factors like BTC/ETH funding rates or USDC whale flows do not directly influence this esports contract, exchange spot volatility could indirectly affect liquidity on btc-prediction.bet if broader market stress emerges ahead of settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?

USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.

Can I use Bitcoin directly?

No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.

How volatile are crypto prediction markets?

Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.

Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?

Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.

Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?

In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.