LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

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Market context

Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue are scheduled to contest a League of Legends best-of-three decider match in EMEA Masters Group B on 12 June at 11:00 AM ET. The winner advances; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Settlement occurs on-chain via USDC at 00:10 UTC on 13 June, with a 50-50 resolution clause triggered if the match fails to complete within seven days or concludes without a decisive result.

The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in Karmine Corp Blue or minimal liquidity at market open. Historical precedent from EMEA Masters tournaments shows that seeding and recent form matter substantially; teams ranked higher in group play win deciders roughly 65–70% of the time. Forsaken's path to this match and their head-to-head record against Karmine Corp Blue's roster composition will determine whether the current odds represent genuine predictive consensus or a liquidity artefact. Recent roster changes or substitutions announced before 12 June could shift expectations materially.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling updates and team announcements through 11 June, particularly any roster confirmations or last-minute coaching changes. Broadcast delays are common in regional League tournaments; the seven-day resolution window provides buffer, but extended postponements beyond 19 June would trigger the 50-50 clause. Funding rates on major crypto exchanges have remained stable through early June, suggesting no macro volatility is pricing into esports markets at present. Settlement speed on btc-prediction.bet's USDC infrastructure typically clears within two hours of match conclusion, provided no dispute arises.

Methodology

This page reads LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

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What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.