LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

BNK FEARX, a mid-tier LCK roster, face T1 in a best-of-three match during the league's opening rounds. T1 remain the region's most decorated franchise, having won four world championships and consistently fielding competitive squads despite roster turnover. The fixture carries standard LCK scheduling weight: matches proceed on published dates absent extraordinary circumstances, with forfeiture or disqualification rare enough that the 50-50 tie-resolution clause functions primarily as a technical safeguard rather than a live trading consideration.

The 0% implied probability reflects T1's structural advantages in player calibre, coaching infrastructure, and recent competitive record. BNK FEARX have not demonstrated the consistency required to trouble top-four LCK teams in direct matchups. Historical LCK upsets—where lower-seeded teams defeat established rosters—occur but typically involve teams separated by single tiers rather than the gap between a mid-table side and a perennial contender. T1's opening-round fixture against BNK FEARX represents a baseline expectation rather than a volatility event.

Traders should monitor LCK official scheduling announcements for any postponements or venue changes ahead of the 30 May 6:00 AM ET start time. Player availability updates, particularly regarding T1's roster, would shift the contract's mechanics; the league publishes injury or eligibility notices through its official channels. Settlement occurs at 2026-05-30T16:15:00Z, allowing sufficient buffer for match completion and official result confirmation. USDC settlement will execute against the published LCK outcome, with no alternative scoring methodologies applied.

Methodology

This page reads LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.