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LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs

"LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Game Handicap: MAZ (-1.5) vs Docta Esports (+1.5) 100% Game Handicap: MAZ (-2.5) vs Docta Esports (+2.5) 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 91% Odd/Even Total Kills 91% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $531K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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LoL: Docta Esports vs Maze Gaming (BO5) - LRS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: MAZ (-1.5) vs Docta Esports (+1.5)100%
Game Handicap: MAZ (-2.5) vs Docta Esports (+2.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills91%
Odd/Even Total Kills91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Game 4 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%

Market context

Docta Esports faced Maze Gaming in the LRS Split 2 playoffs lower-bracket semifinal, a best-of-five that was scheduled for 19 August and is listed as finished 0-3 to Maze on live score pages. Maze also held the cleaner head-to-head coming in, having beaten Docta 2-0 in their regular-season meeting on 10 July, which made a 0% YES price consistent with a market already assuming the favourite had little uncertainty left. The same bracket sources show LRS was a double-elimination playoff with the losers’ side feeding into later rounds, so a completed series on the day would normally settle the contract directly rather than leave any room for the 50-50 fallback.

For traders, the key watchpoints are whether the scheduled series is formally completed, whether any official result feed confirms the scoreline, and whether the match stays within the seven-day settlement window. The contract description ties resolution to the actual match outcome, but if a game is abandoned, not played, or drifts beyond the deadline without a winner, the fallback is 50-50. In practice, that makes post-match reporting and bracket updates more relevant than pre-match sentiment once the series starts. On the crypto side, the payout is in USDC, so the main market link is operational rather than directional: any sharp move in BTC or ETH matters only insofar as it affects broader risk appetite, while the contract itself is driven by match confirmation and settlement mechanics.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — sit alongside as off-chain reference points so you can see how the contract translates across regulatory and settlement regimes.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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