Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? | 51% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
HANJIN BRION and Hanwha Life Esports will compete in a League of Legends best-of-three match during LCK Rounds 1–2, with settlement tied to the match outcome on 31 May at 04:00 UTC. The current crowd-implied probability of 49% for HANJIN BRION reflects genuine uncertainty between two mid-tier LCK franchises with inconsistent recent form. Both teams have cycled through roster adjustments ahead of the 2026 season, making direct historical comparison less reliable than typical inter-season matchups. Hanwha Life Esports finished the previous split with marginal playoff positioning, whilst HANJIN BRION struggled with coordination issues that persisted through playoffs. Head-to-head records between these organisations show competitive parity, with neither team establishing dominance in recent encounters.
Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for any roster confirmations or last-minute substitutions, as both franchises have deployed academy-level players in preparatory matches. Schedule adherence matters for settlement: the match is anchored to a specific UTC timestamp, and any delay beyond seven days without completion triggers a 50–50 resolution. Recent LCK broadcast patterns indicate matches typically proceed on schedule unless infrastructure or player availability issues emerge. Watch for team scrimmage results or coaching staff commentary released through official LCK channels in the 48 hours preceding the fixture, as these often signal tactical preparation levels that correlate with match outcomes. USDC settlement will execute against the official LCK result once confirmed by the league.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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