Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 85% YES | 16% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 61% YES | 40% NO |
Market context
Anyone's Legend face Team WE in the League of Legends Pro League upper bracket semifinal on 1 June 2026, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five match is scheduled for 05:00 ET, settling on-chain via USDC at 15:00 UTC the same day. The 85% implied probability favours Anyone's Legend, reflecting their seeding position and recent regular-season performance within the LPL's competitive hierarchy.
Team WE's historical record against top-four LPL seeds shows mixed results; they've won upper bracket semifinals in two of the past four years when facing similarly ranked opponents, but their win rate drops materially when playing teams that finished higher in the standings. Anyone's Legend's regular-season metrics—particularly their head-to-head record and map pool flexibility—align with the crowd's confidence. Comparable LPL playoff matchups between seeded favourites and mid-tier challengers have resolved in the favourite's direction roughly 80–88% of the time over the past two seasons, suggesting the current probability sits within historical norms rather than representing an outlier.
Traders should monitor LPL official announcements regarding roster changes or player availability up to match day; any last-minute substitutions or health concerns could shift the odds materially. Schedule adherence matters for settlement: the market resolves 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion. Recent LPL broadcasts have maintained their scheduled times reliably, reducing delay risk. Funding rates on major crypto derivatives exchanges remain stable, indicating no unusual macro volatility expected to disrupt the settlement window.
Methodology
This page reads LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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