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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

"Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5) 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Volume: $411K Liquidity: $24 Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%

Market context

PuckChamp and Zero Tenacity are playing a best-of-three in EPL Masters Group B, with the market already pricing in a near-complete lean towards Zero Tenacity after the series started with a 1-0 lead on the scoreboard. The contract settles in USDC, so the main on-chain issue is not price discovery but whether the match completes cleanly before the 7-day delay clause can matter.

Comparable form and rankings point to a narrow but real edge for Zero Tenacity rather than a blowout. Strafe lists Zero Tenacity at 3 wins from their last 5 matches and PuckChamp at 1 from 5, while the two sides were also described as meeting for the first time in this event cycle[2]. Earlier EPL Masters coverage showed Zero Tenacity beating PuckChamp 2-0 in group play, which is the clearest recent head-to-head reference for this pairing[6].

The main catalysts are operational rather than macro: official match progress, whether the series is paused or resumed, and any tournament-side decision that could trigger a void or 50-50 settlement if the game is abandoned[1]. Live score trackers already show the series in progress, so traders should watch for completion status and final series confirmation rather than speculative team news[1]. Broader crypto conditions matter only at the margin here; if BTC and ETH are volatile, USDC-denominated market pricing can still move around as liquidity thins, but the contract outcome itself depends almost entirely on the match result and settlement timing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto prediction markets are on-chain smart contracts where you buy YES or NO shares on a future crypto event (e.g. "BTC above $100k by year-end"). The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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