Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Ends in Daytime | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming will contest a best-of-one Dota 2 match in the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 08:40 ET. The fixture carries standard competitive weight within the BLAST circuit, a tournament series that has consolidated regional Dota 2 qualification across multiple seasons. Both squads operate within the broader Southeast Asian and Chinese competitive ecosystem, where roster stability and scrim performance typically correlate with match outcomes more reliably than in Western regions.
Historical precedent suggests that 50-50 implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty between these rosters. PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming occupy comparable tiers within their respective regional hierarchies, with neither side commanding consistent dominance in head-to-head records. Prior BLAST Slam encounters between similarly-ranked teams have resolved along draft advantage and mid-game execution rather than raw mechanical skill gaps. Recent roster changes or substitutions—particularly among support players—should be monitored, as Dota 2 group-stage performance often hinges on communication cohesion during early rotations.
Traders should track official BLAST scheduling announcements for any postponements, which remain common in esports due to visa delays or technical infrastructure issues. The seven-day settlement window provides buffer against minor rescheduling, though matches delayed beyond that threshold trigger 50-50 resolution. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets like Liquipedia for last-minute roster confirmations or player illness disclosures in the 48 hours preceding kick-off. Funding conditions on perpetual Dota 2 betting derivatives remain thin; liquidity concentration on this specific matchup may amplify slippage for larger position entries.
Methodology
This page reads Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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