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Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

How the on-chain market is pricing "Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 74% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 51% Volume: $389K Liquidity: $138K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?74%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?26%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: Enjoy (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Enjoy (+1.5)0%

Market context

Enjoy play Yakult Brothers in a best-of-three elimination match at the Games of the Future Group C, with the fixture listed for 1 August at 11:00 UTC and framed by a 7:00AM ET start in market terms.[1][17] The on-chain market is a simple binary on the match winner, but settlement is not automatic on timing alone: if the series is not played, ends level, or is pushed beyond the seven-day grace period without a result, it resolves 50-50, so the main risk is not just who wins but whether the series completes inside the settlement window.

The 0% YES price is best read against the pre-match consensus rather than any live edge. Multiple event trackers have already treated Yakult Brothers as the stronger side, with Strafe’s pre-game vote showing 100% for Yakult Brothers and DLTV’s model giving them roughly a 64% winrate, while Enjoy came in lower on recent form and ranking data.[4][10] Comparable cases in this bracket have tended to follow the higher-rated roster unless an earlier group result or draft mismatch shifts the series; Enjoy entered after a 2-0 loss to GLYPH, while Yakult Brothers also came off a group-stage defeat, so the market is pricing a cleaner path for Yakult Brothers but not a dead-cert outcome.[10][16]

For catalysts, the main watchpoints are tournament administration updates, roster confirmation, and any schedule slippage in the Group C elimination slot, because delays can force a 50-50 settlement even if the teams are later matched up.[17][19] The broader crypto backdrop matters only at the margin here: this is a USDC-settled contract, so BTC and ETH spot moves, funding rates, or whale flows matter mainly if they spill into overall prediction-market liquidity rather than the Dota 2 result itself. If the market stays at 0% while the match is officially live, that usually indicates either stale pricing or a very one-sided consensus that has not yet been repriced by takers.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Dota 2: Enjoy vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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