Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO are due to meet paiN in a best-of-three lower-bracket match at CS Asia Championships Group A, with the winner staying alive in the Shanghai event and the loser eliminated. The market is priced well below a coin flip at 40% YES, which implies traders are leaning towards paiN or at least treating TYLOO’s path as the tougher one. In similar elimination-format CS2 markets, the price often tracks roster stability and map-pool depth more than headline ranking, because a BO3 leaves less room for variance than a single map and punishes weak vetoes.

The main near-term catalyst is simple: whether the earlier Group A results and scheduling still leave both teams with a clean, on-time start before the 18:50 UTC settlement window closes. Dust2.us has TYLOO listed against the BC.Game/paiN winner, which indicates the bracket position is still dependent on an upstream result, and any delay in that feeder match would matter directly for settlement risk. For on-chain traders, the relevant point is that these markets settle in USDC, so the main exposure is not the match itself but timing: a postponed start, walkover, or abandoned series can force a 50-50 outcome under the rules. Broader crypto conditions are only secondary here, although sharp moves in BTC and ETH can still affect overall prediction-market liquidity and pricing behaviour on Polymarket-type venues.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically this overview focuses on on-chain pricing: Polymarket's live mid comes from the Polygon conditional-token order book and settles automatically in USDC. The other three venues — Kalshi, Betfair, Manifold — are listed with their platform attributes, because they operate off-chain and a 1:1 comparison of contract mechanics isn't possible.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.