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Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

How the on-chain market is pricing "Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $313K Liquidity: $402K Closes: 17 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
BTC Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on BTC Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on BTC Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on BTC Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on BTC Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on BTC Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Market context

The NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs will feature TDK against Team Nemesis in a best-of-three semifinal match scheduled for 17 June at 7:00 AM ET. The winner advances to the grand final of this Indian esports tournament, which has drawn regional and international Counter-Strike talent. TDK, a roster with established LAN credentials in South Asian circuits, faces Team Nemesis in what amounts to a high-stakes elimination fixture where map veto and early-round economy management typically determine outcomes in competitive CS2.

Historical precedent across NODWIN tournaments suggests that 0% crowd probability at settlement window open reflects either extreme confidence in one outcome or insufficient liquidity depth in early trading. Comparable esports semifinals on prediction platforms have shifted materially once team rosters are confirmed or recent scrim results surface; TDK's historical map pool performance and Team Nemesis's recent tournament placements would be primary anchors for reassessment. Cancellation risk remains material given regional infrastructure dependencies, though NODWIN has maintained scheduling reliability in prior seasons.

Traders should monitor official NODWIN announcements for any roster changes or scheduling amendments before the 17 June window closes. Recent Counter-Strike patch updates and map pool adjustments can shift competitive dynamics at short notice. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 resolution clause for matches delayed beyond seven days creates tail risk if infrastructure issues emerge; tracking tournament organisers' public statements on contingency plans will be essential. USDC settlement occurs post-match completion and official result confirmation by NODWIN.

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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