Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sharks face Ninjas in Pyjamas in the upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 28 May at 1:30PM ET. The 1% implied probability reflects substantial confidence in NIP's superiority, positioning this as a heavily favoured outcome within the prediction market's USDC settlement framework. Resolution occurs by 29 May at 02:45 UTC; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 split.

NIP's dominance in recent Stake Ranked competition and their established roster depth historically justify steep odds against emerging challengers. Comparable upsets in regional Counter-Strike playoffs occur at rates below 5%, though Sharks' qualification to this stage indicates baseline competitive capability. The current probability discount reflects both NIP's tournament pedigree and the structural disadvantage of facing a top-seeded opponent in a single-elimination format.

Key variables for traders include roster confirmation and any last-minute substitutions announced via official Stake Ranked channels or team social media prior to match start. Technical delays—server issues, broadcast complications—remain material risks given the seven-day resolution window; funding rate movements on major crypto exchanges may signal broader market sentiment shifts if high-profile esports betting activity correlates with BTC or ETH volatility. Monitor NIP's recent scrim results and map pool adjustments, as these often surface through community Discord channels and esports news outlets within 48 hours of match time.

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?

Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.