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Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

On-chain snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs" — live Polygon order book, USDC settlement, platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $127K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs GenOne (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5)1%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-9.5) vs GenOne (+9.5)1%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs GenOne (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-9.5) vs GenOne (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Sashi Esport (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%

Market context

Sashi Esport and GenOne are scheduled to play a best-of-three quarter-final in the NODWIN Clutch Series playoffs, so the market is effectively a binary read on whether the series is completed and which side takes the match. Live match listings place the fixture around 11:00 UTC, with multiple bookmakers and score trackers already carrying it as active or imminent, but one odds feed has also shown cancellation/postponement tags, which matters because any non-played or unresolved outcome beyond the settlement rules would push the market to 50-50 rather than a team win.[3][10][15]

The current crowd-implied 100% YES sits well above the pre-match pricing shown elsewhere, where Sashi and GenOne were trading close to even and some models gave GenOne a modest edge. Independent match pages have shown GenOne around 65% and Sashi around 35%, while another forecast source implied a near coin-flip with GenOne only slightly favoured; that makes the crowd price look far more decisive than the surrounding market, which is usually what happens when traders expect the scheduled series to go ahead without disruption.[1][2][7]

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: official confirmation that the quarter-final starts on time, whether the bracket remains intact, and whether any delay or admin issue pushes the result outside the seven-day settlement window. Because payout is in USDC on-chain, the contract will only resolve cleanly if the result is recorded as a completed match; if the series is abandoned, not played, or left without a winner, the fallback is the market’s 50-50 treatment, not a speculative read on form.[3][10][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
Are crypto prediction markets taxable in the US?
In the US, prediction market gains are typically treated as ordinary income or short-term capital gains depending on holding period. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation — we cannot provide tax advice.
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