Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% RUSTEC | 0% HEROIC Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) | 0% HEROIC Academy | 100% RUSTEC |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
RUSTEC face HEROIC Academy in a Counter-Strike best-of-three fixture within the CCT Europe Series #4 group stage, scheduled for 13 June at 07:00 ET. The match determines seeding advancement in a regional qualifier that feeds into broader European competitive circuits. CCT tournaments have maintained consistent scheduling adherence over recent seasons, though technical delays affecting server stability or player connectivity occasionally push fixtures beyond their advertised windows.
The 100% crowd-implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in match completion or sparse liquidity in the order book. Historical precedent from CCT Europe events shows cancellation rates below 3% when fixtures reach group-stage rounds, as organisers prioritise fixture integrity to maintain circuit credibility. HEROIC Academy, the academy roster of the established HEROIC organisation, typically fields experienced players rotating through the main squad, whilst RUSTEC competes as an independent roster. Comparative strength assessments suggest competitive parity, making the certainty pricing unusual absent public roster changes or withdrawal announcements.
Traders should monitor official CCT communications and team social channels through 12 June for any withdrawal notices, roster substitutions, or venue complications. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start for completion. Delayed resolution to 50-50 triggers only if the match remains unplayed beyond seven days from 13 June. Recent CCT Europe coverage via ESIC and tournament organisers' official channels confirms no pre-announced complications as of early June. Funding conditions on crypto derivatives markets remain stable, with BTC spot trading near established support levels, suggesting no macro disruption affecting trader participation.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- BTC Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on BTC Prediction?
- Zero. BTC Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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