Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
Market context
Rune Eaters and Bushido Wildcats are scheduled to play a best-of-three in CCT Europe Series #3 Group D, and the market is effectively pricing a completed result rather than a no-contest. A 100% YES crowd view usually reflects the assumption that the fixture will go ahead before the settlement window closes, but it can also signal thin liquidity and herd behaviour rather than firm conviction. Strafe’s match page shows Bushido Wildcats as the crowd pick, while Dust2.us and GosuGamers list the fixture as part of the same CCT Europe closed qualifier slate, which is the right frame for judging whether this is a straightforward match outcome or one exposed to late administrative change.
The main catalysts are operational rather than competitive: roster confirmations, start-time changes, server status, and any bracket reshuffle from the group stage. CCT events have occasionally been sensitive to late schedule updates, and the settlement rule here matters because a postponed or abandoned series can still resolve 50-50 if no winner is determined in time. If the teams load in and complete the BO3, the market should settle on the actual winner; if not, the question becomes whether the match was played at all before 23:50 UTC. For traders tying this to broader crypto conditions, USDC-denominated payouts are unaffected by BTC or ETH direction, but risk appetite across esports markets can still track wider exchange activity, funding rates, and whale flows on venues such as CoinGlass or exchange dashboards when volatility is elevated.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group D on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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