Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Ex-RUBY and Rune Eaters are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 25 May at 13:00 ET as part of the CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage. The contest forms part of a broader European competitive circuit where roster stability and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. Settlement occurs in USDC against the match result, with the market resolving to a 50-50 split should the fixture be cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or end in a tie.
The 0% implied probability on ex-RUBY victory reflects either material uncertainty about fixture confirmation or a significant disparity in perceived team strength. Comparable esports markets on crypto platforms have historically shown that early-stage group matches in regional circuits often feature volatile odds, particularly when one roster carries recent tournament pedigree or roster continuity advantages. Rune Eaters' implied dominance suggests either established competitive standing within the CCT ecosystem or recent roster acquisitions that have shifted market expectations substantially.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements for any schedule changes, roster confirmations, or player availability issues in the days preceding 25 May. Recent esports betting data from platforms tracking European Counter-Strike (including Esports Charts coverage of CCT events) indicates that group-stage fixtures frequently experience last-minute adjustments. The seven-day grace period before 50-50 resolution creates a distinct settlement risk; any delay announcement would immediately alter contract value. BTC and ETH funding rates remain secondary to fixture confirmation, though sustained crypto market volatility could affect overall platform liquidity for esports contracts during the settlement window.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT E… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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