Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

NRG’s lower-bracket BO3 against MOUZ at CS Asia Championships is the real-world event behind this contract, but the market is already at 0% YES, so the live question is whether it can be reopened by an official result being posted before the settlement window closes. In comparable esports markets on prediction venues, a near-zero price usually reflects one of three states: the match is already decided and the market has not updated, the contest has been voided or postponed into a settlement edge case, or the outcome has been effectively absorbed by outside data feeds before the on-chain market catches up. For a USDC-settled contract, the practical issue is less the scoreline than whether the resolver can verify a completed map series from trusted match data, because a delayed or non-completed fixture can push the market to a split-resolution path rather than a normal win/lose close.

The key catalysts are the tournament schedule and any official status updates from CS Asia Championships, HLTV, or the organisers’ broadcast feed. The match was initially set for 20 May at 11:00 p.m. ET, and if it was played and completed there should be a clean resolution to either NRG or MOUZ; if it was not played, or was delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market terms point to 50-50. Traders should also watch whether the event is progressing on the expected GSL lower-bracket timetable, because adjacent matches can affect start times and whether a BO3 is pushed back. In crypto terms, there is usually little direct BTC or ETH sensitivity here beyond general risk appetite and the settlement mechanics on-chain, though any sudden move in exchange liquidity or USDC routing would matter only if the market is still open when the resolution data lands.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.