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Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

"Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage" — on-chain market odds, USDC settlement in seconds.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5) 100% Volume: $95K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs Endless Journey (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-3.5) vs Endless Journey (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Endless Journey (-6.5) vs INOX Division (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-6.5) vs Endless Journey (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-9.5) vs Endless Journey (+9.5)0%

Market context

INOX Division face Endless Journey in a best-of-three CCT Europe Series #5 group-stage match, with the market already pricing a near-certain INOX Division win at 100% YES. Public match listings point to the fixture being scheduled for 14:00 UTC on 22 July, which aligns with the contract’s original round-one timing and leaves the key binary question as whether the series is actually completed rather than whether it is merely listed on the slate.[2][4]

The current price is much firmer than the broader crowd view on comparable esports boards, where INOX Division have been the clear favourite but not overwhelmingly so: Strafe users have leaned 87.7% towards INOX Division, while BO3-style pre-match pages still frame the series as a contest that can go 2-0, 2-1, 1-2 or 0-2 rather than a foregone conclusion.[1][3] For a USDC-settled contract, that gap matters because the on-chain payout is determined by the final official result, not by pre-match sentiment, and these markets often reprice hard if a team check-in, roster note or scheduling issue changes the probability of the match being played.[5][6]

Traders should watch for late organiser updates from CCT or the platform carrying the fixture, especially any delay, map forfeit, or unresolved start-time shift, because this contract has a 50-50 fallback if the match is cancelled, tied, or pushed beyond seven days without a winner.[5] The main catalyst is therefore operational rather than macro: confirmation that both teams are live and the BO3 begins on time. If the event slips, the market can move quickly away from a clean win/loss outcome and towards the settlement mechanics that govern incomplete matches.[5][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

FAQ

What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Can I use Bitcoin directly?
No, Polymarket operates exclusively in USDC on Polygon. You can bridge BTC to USDC via an exchange or bridge service and deposit on Polygon — typically 10-30 minutes processing time.
How does UMA secure the resolution?
The UMA Optimistic Oracle uses a bond system: a proposer posts a bond, a two-hour challenge window opens. On dispute the losing side forfeits the bond — financial incentive for honest resolution.
How volatile are crypto prediction markets?
Crypto markets react to spot prices — a 5% BTC move typically shifts a "BTC above X by date" market 10-20%. Polymarket crypto market liquidity is usually six-figure USD, sufficient for active trading.
Which crypto markets exist on Polymarket?
Currently active markets include BTC/ETH/SOL price targets, halving dates, ETF approvals, hard-fork outcomes and Layer-2 TVL thresholds. The list updates weekly; biggest volume sits on BTC and ETH price forecasts.
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