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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the on-chain market is pricing "Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now, plus comparison with Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs TYLOO (+9.5) 10% Volume: $458K Liquidity: $418K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via BTC Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-9.5) vs TYLOO (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.52%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)0%

Market context

The Esports World Cup Group C upper bracket quarterfinal between FUT Esports and TYLOO is scheduled for 12 August 2026 at 12:50PM ET in a best-of-one Counter-Strike format. FUT Esports, a Ukrainian organisation, has competed at multiple international LANs with mixed results against top-tier opposition, whilst TYLOO represents the Chinese competitive scene and has historically struggled against European teams in high-stakes tournaments. The match outcome determines progression in the EWC's group stage structure, with implications for seeding in subsequent rounds.

The 100% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in FUT's superiority or potential illiquidity in the market's early phase. Historical precedent from similar esports prediction markets shows that lopsided probabilities on regional matchups often compress once trading volume increases and sharp bettors assess team form, recent roster changes, and map pool compatibility. TYLOO's performance at preceding qualifiers and any last-minute lineup announcements will be critical data points; the Chinese esports media ecosystem (including Weibo updates and esports.qq.com coverage) typically breaks roster news before Western outlets.

Traders should monitor the official EWC schedule for any delays, which could trigger the 7-day resolution clause if the match doesn't conclude by 19 August. Map selection announcements, typically released 24 hours before play, will shape strategic preparation and may shift expectations if either team faces unfavourable pool matchups. USDC settlement occurs upon match completion and official result confirmation from tournament organisers, with no leverage or funding rate mechanics applicable to this binary contract.

Methodology

This page reads Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed alongside for venue context. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.

Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Why USDC and not ETH or USDT?
USDC is the Polygon standard — audited reserves (Circle, monthly attestation), deepest order book, low gas costs. ETH volatility would distort probability quotes; USDT has thinner Polygon liquidity than USDC.
What does a transaction cost on Polygon?
Polygon gas is typically under $0.01 per transaction. A full trade cycle (Approve + Order + Fill) totals around $0.03 — compared to $5-50 on Ethereum mainnet.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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