Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 26% YES | 75% NO |
Market context
AM Gaming are scheduled to play Falcons Force in a best-of-three CCT Europe Series 2 group-stage match, with the market hinging on whether the fixture is completed and a winner is recorded before the settlement window closes. With the crowd price already at 100% YES, the contract is effectively trading as a near-certain play-to-complete event rather than a live matchup bet.
That sort of pricing usually reflects a completed or functionally settled match state in comparable esports markets, where outcomes resolve cleanly once HLTV, GosuGamers or similar result feeds confirm the map scoreline. Kalshi’s event page for this fixture notes the match was originally scheduled for 20 May at 4:00 AM EDT and that resolution is tied to verified match outcome data, which is the key point for on-chain traders: USDC settlement depends on an external results feed rather than in-market odds. In practice, a 100% YES price often means there is little perceived cancellation or void risk left, not necessarily that either side is heavily fancied on map quality.
The main catalysts are operational rather than competitive: official tournament scheduling, any postponement notice, start-time slippage, or a walkover if one side fails to field five players. Traders should watch the CCT schedule pages, HLTV match status, and any bracket updates from the organiser, because a delayed start is usually immaterial unless it pushes the result beyond the settlement conditions. Broader crypto market moves are unlikely to matter directly unless they affect platform liquidity or USDC transfer flow, but Bitcoin and ether volatility can still influence overall market-wide risk appetite and bid depth around short-dated event contracts.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Falcons Force (BO3) - C… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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