Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
3DMAX face Liquid in a best-of-three lower-bracket match at the CS Asia Championships. The market’s 56% crowd-implied price suggests a modest edge for Liquid rather than a strong consensus, which fits a contest between two teams with enough recent form to justify a live series either way. Available match pages point to a meaningful stylistic angle: BO3.gg notes 3DMAX have won 75% of recent head-to-head meetings and that Mirage is typically their first ban, implying the veto could matter as much as raw team strength.
For traders, the main catalyst is simple execution risk around the schedule and whether the match starts and finishes before the settlement window closes on 21 May at 09:00 UTC. The contract resolves 50-50 if the game is not played, tied, or delayed beyond seven days, so any stage-running changes, technical delays, or format adjustments matter more than usual. Liquipedia and tournament coverage should confirm the bracket path and exact start time, while Polymarket’s order book and volume profile indicate this is a relatively liquid CS2 market rather than a thin side event. If broader crypto risk moves sharply, that will affect USDC-denominated PnL and platform flows more than the result itself, though BTC and ETH spot swings can still influence overall risk appetite around esports books.
Methodology
This page reads Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Cham… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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