Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on BTC Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on BTC Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a lower-bracket round 2 Dota 2 match between Enjoy and HULIGANI at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled to begin at 4:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026. This is a best-of-three contest where the winner advances, and the market resolves to "Enjoy" if they win, or "HULIGANI" if they prevail. No live price exists yet, but community voting on Strafe shows Enjoy favoured at 62.9%, with no prior head-to-head history between the two sides[1][5].
Historically, unranked or low-ranked teams in TI qualifiers often face volatile odds until matchday, especially when recent form is thin. Enjoy has won two of their last five matches and remains unranked globally, while HULIGANI has won just one of their last two, suggesting both are inconsistent[1]. Comparable TI Europe qualifier matches from 2024–2025 show that early-round outcomes frequently defy pre-match sentiment, with 40–50% of such matches resolving against the initial favourite due to bracket pressure and unfamiliarity[1].
Traders should monitor live streams on DLTV and Gamers World for real-time verification, as outcomes are confirmed via Dota 2, DLTV, and Gamers World data feeds[2]. Key catalysts include any match delays beyond seven days, cancellations, or incomplete games that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for whale flows in USDC and BTC/ETH macro shifts, as crypto market volatility can influence liquidity on on-chain settlement platforms like btc-prediction.bet. For the latest team updates, refer to Esports Charts’ Enjoy team overview, which tracks viewership and tournament activity[6]. Settlement closes on 26 June 2026 at 14:00 UTC, with USDC as the primary settlement currency.
Methodology
This page reads Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs on-chain. Polymarket's quote comes directly from the Polygon order book — the only comparable venue with on-chain settlement. Kalshi (USD, off-chain), Betfair (GBP/EUR, off-chain) and Manifold (play-money) are listed for comparison. Every CTA routes to BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, a two-hour dispute window opens, then the smart contract lifts winning conditional tokens to 1 USDC and sends payments to holders' wallets automatically. No withdrawal fees beyond Polygon gas.
Off-chain venues (Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets) settle in local fiat through bank-side clearing — faster than SWIFT, slower than on-chain. Manifold pays no real cash.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On BTC Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, BTC Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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